Kylian Mbappe, Raheem Sterling and Mohammed Salah have been listed as more valuable on the transfer market as compared to the likes of the current Ballon d’Or holder Lionel Messi, Christiano, Christiano Ronaldo and Neymar.
The deduction has been made by the CIES Football Observatory based on decade long analytics of the players in the top five leagues in Europe.
Mbappe, who plays for Paris St-Germain has been valued €265.2 million ahead of Sterling €223.7m) and Salah (€175.1m).
Only three players above the age of 30 have made the top 50 list with Messi at number 8m valued at €12.5m, Bayern Munich’s Robert Lewandoski (€87.1m) at number 36 and Ronaldo (€80.3) scrapping in at number 49. Ronaldo is the oldest player, at 34 to make the list of 166 players valued by the CIES Football Observatory.
Brazilian Neymar, who is currently the most expensive player in the world, has been valued at only at €100.4, less than half the amount PSG had to pay for his transfer from Barcelona.
The CIES predicts the transfer value of players using an algorithm that they developed in 2010 and have been taking samples of over 2500 transfers across the leagues in England, Spain, Italy, Germany and France from 2011 to work out the potential value of today’s biggest stars.
The CIES look at the economic situation of both clubs involved in a potential transfer; this would take into account factors like a buyout from a mega-rich owner or a potential “fire sale” when a big club is relegated and then has to sell its players for cut-price fees.
They then turn to the type of player clubs might look to recruit, taking into account numerous variables such as the player’s age, nationality, activity at both club and international level, their position etc.
The algorithm also takes into account other variables like the player’s contract duration, the year of their previous transfer and injuries to arrive at their final value for each player.
Based in the system, Liverpool’s Alisson Becker would be the most valued goalkeeper at €87m) with Chelsea’s Kepa Arrizabalaga valued at €76,2m and Everton’s Jordan Pickford at €73.2m.
Liverpool seem to possess the most valued backline as per the CIES study. Virgil van Dijk is the most valued canter back at €92.7m with both Trent Alexander-Arnold (€110.5m) and Andrew Robertson (€77.m) both topping the most valued full back list.
Leicester City’s James Madisson is the most expensive midfielder, valued at €112.4m).
Eleven out of the twenty players in the list with an estimated value of at least €100m play for English Premier League clubs.
There are at least two players worth more than €100m are in each of the remaining four leagues: three in the Liga (Messi, Antoine Griezmann and João Felix), two in the Ligue1 (Mbappé and Neymar), two in the Serie A (Lautaro Martínez and Romelu Lukaku), as well as two in the Bundesliga (Jadon Sancho and Timo Werner).
For the full list of the player value estimates click here.